── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taylor Fritz
Jordan Thompson
79%21%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 78% / 22%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taylor Fritz
98th · elite
Jordan Thompson
65th · average
Return
Taylor Fritz
82th · strong
Jordan Thompson
62th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#80
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taylor Fritz■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–1
Hard2–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Taylor Fritz | 6-1 3-0 RET |
| 2024-06-17 | Queen's Club | Grass | QF | Jordan Thompson | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-07-31 | Washington | Hard | QF | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2017-02-27 | Acapulco | Hard | Q2 | Taylor Fritz | 5-7 6-2 6-2 |