── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Taylor Fritz 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Taylor Fritz
Jordan Thompson
76%24%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 78% / 22%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Return
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Jordan Thompson
64th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#15
model rank
#80
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Taylor FritzJordan Thompson
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass11
Hard20
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR16Taylor Fritz6-1 3-0 RET
2024-06-17Queen's ClubGrassQFJordan Thompson6-4 6-3
2023-07-31WashingtonHardQFTaylor Fritz6-3 6-3
2017-02-27AcapulcoHardQ2Taylor Fritz5-7 6-2 6-2