── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taylor Fritz
Alexander Bublik
64%36%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taylor Fritz
98th · elite
Alexander Bublik
89th · strong
Return
Taylor Fritz
82th · strong
Alexander Bublik
47th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#30
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
KAZ
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taylor Fritz■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass3–0
Hard1–4
Clay1–0
── 9 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(1) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2026-06-13 | Stuttgart | Grass | SF | Taylor Fritz | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 7-6(5) 6-2 |
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | Clay | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-09-15 | Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs KAZ | Hard | RR | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(6) 1-6 6-3 |
| 2022-06-20 | Eastbourne | Grass | QF | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021-03-22 | Miami Masters | Hard | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2020-01-13 | Adelaide | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2019-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 4-6 7-5 7-5 |