── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taylor Fritz
Alexander Bublik
56%44%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 62% / 38%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Return
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#24
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
KAZ
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taylor Fritz■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–4
Clay1–0
Grass1–0
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 7-6(5) 6-2 |
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | Clay | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-09-15 | Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs KAZ | Hard | RR | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(6) 1-6 6-3 |
| 2022-06-20 | Eastbourne | Grass | QF | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021-03-22 | Miami Masters | Hard | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2020-01-13 | Adelaide | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2019-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 4-6 7-5 7-5 |