── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taylor Fritz
Reilly Opelka
79%21%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 90% / 10%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Return
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#100
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
196cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taylor Fritz■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard6–1
Clay2–0
── 9 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-07-26 | Atlanta | Hard | QF | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(5) 6-7(3) 7-6(4) |
| 2021-02-08 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 4-6 7-6(6) 6-7(4) 7-6(5) 6-2 |
| 2020-10-19 | Antwerp | Hard | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(5) 6-1 |
| 2019-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Reilly Opelka | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-04-22 | Barcelona | Clay | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2018-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Taylor Fritz | 4-6 7-6(6) 6-4 |
| 2018-01-22 | Newport Beach CH | Hard | SF | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 7-6(6) |
| 2015-05-11 | Spain F13 | Clay | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(2) 6-4 |