── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taylor Fritz
Frances Tiafoe
53%47%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taylor Fritz
98th · elite
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Return
Taylor Fritz
82th · strong
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#12
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taylor Fritz■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard7–1
── 9 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Halle | Grass | F | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | SF | Taylor Fritz | 4-6 7-5 4-6 6-4 6-1 |
| 2023-02-27 | Acapulco | Hard | QF | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-10-03 | Tokyo | Hard | F | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(3) 7-6(2) |
| 2022-08-08 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 5-7 6-1 6-4 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 6-4 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2019-10-28 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(6) 3-6 6-4 |
| 2016-08-22 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2016-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 2-6 6-3 |