── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Taylor Fritz 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Taylor Fritz
Hubert Hurkacz
72%28%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 65% / 35%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Hubert Hurkacz
94th · elite
Return
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Hubert Hurkacz
48th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#15
model rank
#60
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
POL
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Taylor FritzHubert Hurkacz
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard22
Clay11
Grass10
── 7 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-05United CupHardSFHubert Hurkacz7-6(1) 7-6(2)
2025-05-18GenevaClayQFHubert Hurkacz6-3 7-6(5)
2024-12-27United CupHardFTaylor Fritz6-4 5-7 7-6(4)
2024-04-22Madrid MastersClayR16Taylor Fritz7-6(2) 6-4
2023-01-02United CupHardSFTaylor Fritz7-6(5) 7-6(5)
2019-08-05Canada MastersHardR64Hubert Hurkacz6-3 7-5
2019-06-24EastbourneGrassQFTaylor Fritz6-4 7-6(5)