── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taylor Fritz
Lorenzo Sonego
77%23%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 78% / 22%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Return
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#87
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
196cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taylor Fritz■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard5–0
Clay0–2
Grass2–0
── 9 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(4) 7-5 |
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(2) 6-3 |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 6-4 7-6(1) |
| 2021-11-01 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 3-6 6-2 6-3 |
| 2021-04-05 | Cagliari | Clay | SF | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-4 5-7 6-1 |
| 2021-03-08 | Doha | Hard | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 7-6(5) 6-3 7-6(17) |
| 2018-07-02 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Taylor Fritz | 3-6 6-3 6-2 6-2 |
| 2018-06-18 | Queen's Club | Grass | Q1 | Taylor Fritz | 6-2 3-6 6-1 |