── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Taylor Fritz 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Taylor Fritz
Lorenzo Sonego
82%18%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Taylor Fritz
98th · elite
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Return
Taylor Fritz
82th · strong
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#9
model rank
#99
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
196cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Taylor Fritz■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass3–0
Hard5–0
Clay0–2
── 10 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-04WimbledonGrassR32Taylor Fritz4-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(5)
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR32Taylor Fritz7-6(4) 7-5
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardR64Taylor Fritz7-6(2) 6-3
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersHardR32Taylor Fritz6-4 7-6(1)
2021-11-01Paris MastersHardR64Taylor Fritz3-6 6-2 6-3
2021-04-05CagliariClaySFLorenzo Sonego6-4 5-7 6-1
2021-03-08DohaHardR32Taylor Fritz7-6(5) 6-4
2020-09-28Roland GarrosClayR32Lorenzo Sonego7-6(5) 6-3 7-6(17)
2018-07-02WimbledonGrassR128Taylor Fritz3-6 6-3 6-2 6-2
2018-06-18Queen's ClubGrassQ1Taylor Fritz6-2 3-6 6-1