── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Taylor Fritz 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Taylor Fritz
Valentin Vacherot
59%41%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 97% / 3%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Valentin Vacherot
86th · strong
Return
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Valentin Vacherot
56th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#15
model rank
#29
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
MON
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Taylor FritzValentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-20BaselHardR32Taylor Fritz4-6 7-6(4) 7-5