── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taylor Fritz
Alexei Popyrin
75%25%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 90% / 10%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Return
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#75
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taylor Fritz■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Geneva | Clay | R16 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-7(4) 7-6(2) 6-4 6-7(6) 6-2 |
| 2022-08-01 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 6-4 6-3 |