── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taylor Fritz
Sebastian Korda
50%50%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Return
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#16
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taylor Fritz■ Sebastian Korda
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay2–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Dallas | Hard | QF | Taylor Fritz | 6-7(2) 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2025-09-24 | Tokyo | Hard | QF | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 |
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Korda | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-04-11 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R16 | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(4) 7-5 |