── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taylor Fritz
Sebastian Baez
75%25%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 95% / 5%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#77
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
196cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taylor Fritz■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–1
Clay1–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | United Cup | Hard | RR | Sebastian Baez | 4-6 7-5 6-4 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2023-10-30 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2022-08-15 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 6-1 6-1 |