── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taylor Fritz
Brandon Nakashima
59%41%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taylor Fritz
98th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Taylor Fritz
82th · strong
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#18
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taylor Fritz■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–2
Grass1–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | QF | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(9) 4-6 6-3 |
| 2026-08-02 | Washington | Hard | SF | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |
| 2026-02-09 | Dallas | Hard | R16 | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-4 4-6 7-6(4) |
| 2021-10-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Taylor Fritz | 7-5 3-6 6-4 7-5 |