── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Taylor Fritz 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Taylor Fritz
Valentin Royer
82%18%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 85% / 15%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Valentin Royer
43th · average
Return
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Valentin Royer
18th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#15
model rank
#118
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Taylor FritzValentin Royer
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Taylor Fritz7-6(5) 5-7 6-1 6-3