── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Taylor Fritz 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Taylor Fritz
Daniel Merida Aguilar
64%36%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 95% / 5%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Taylor Fritz
98th · elite
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Return
Taylor Fritz
82th · strong
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#9
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Taylor Fritz■ Daniel Merida Aguilar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-18Cincinnati MastersHardR32Taylor Fritz6-3 6-4