── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taylor Fritz
Alex Michelsen
61%39%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 83% / 17%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taylor Fritz
98th · elite
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Return
Taylor Fritz
82th · strong
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#24
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taylor Fritz■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Washington | Hard | QF | Taylor Fritz | 6-1 3-6 7-6(6) |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 6-4 7-6(6) |
| 2024-05-20 | Geneva | Clay | R16 | Alex Michelsen | 6-4 4-6 7-5 |