── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taylor Fritz
Joao Fonseca
45%55%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 32% / 68%
Grass: 83% / 17%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Return
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#10
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
BRA
196cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taylor Fritz■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-23 | Eastbourne | Grass | R16 | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 6-7(5) 7-5 |