── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taylor Fritz
Rafael Jodar
55%45%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taylor Fritz
98th · elite
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Return
Taylor Fritz
82th · strong
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#7
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
—
USA
country
ESP
196cm
height
—
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taylor Fritz■ Rafael Jodar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Washington | Hard | F | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(2) 6-4 |
| 2026-02-16 | Delray Beach | Hard | R16 | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(4) 6-4 |