── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Taylor Fritz
Rafael Jodar
40%60%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 94% / 6%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Return
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#15
model rank
#6
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
USA
country
ESP
196cm
height
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Taylor FritzRafael Jodar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16Delray BeachHardR16Taylor Fritz7-6(4) 6-4