── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 90% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Daniel Evans
90%10%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 91% / 9%
Grass: 73% / 27%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Daniel Evans
7th · poor
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Daniel Evans
26th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#182
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
GBR
185cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Daniel Evans
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard1–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-23 | Eastbourne | Grass | R16 | Daniel Evans | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2022-09-14 | Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs GBR | Hard | RR | Tommy Paul | 6-4 4-6 6-4 |
| 2022-08-08 | Canada Masters | Hard | QF | Daniel Evans | 1-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2018-08-13 | Vancouver CH | Hard | Q3 | Daniel Evans | 6-0 6-7(10) 7-5 |