── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tommy Paul 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tommy Paul
Marton Fucsovics
72%28%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Marton Fucsovics
56th · average
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Marton Fucsovics
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#14
model rank
#59
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
HUN
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Tommy PaulMarton Fucsovics
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
Hard02
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR64Tommy Paul4-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4
2021-03-01RotterdamHardQFMarton Fucsovics6-4 6-3
2020-01-20Australian OpenHardR32Marton Fucsovics6-1 6-1 6-4
2016-05-02Rome CHClayR32Tommy Paul6-0 5-7 6-4