── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Karen Khachanov
62%38%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 56% / 44%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#34
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
RUS
185cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Tommy Paul | 6-3 3-6 7-6(7) 3-6 6-3 |
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Tommy Paul | 6-3 3-6 6-2 |
| 2022-03-21 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-4 3-6 7-6(3) |