── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Kamil Majchrzak
69%31%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 56% / 44%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Kamil Majchrzak
64th · average
Return
Tommy Paul
94th · elite
Kamil Majchrzak
74th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#60
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
POL
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Kamil Majchrzak
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Kamil Majchrzak | 7-5 7-6(4) |
| 2019-07-22 | Atlanta | Hard | Q2 | Kamil Majchrzak | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2018-10-29 | Charlottesville CH | Hard | R16 | Tommy Paul | 6-2 6-1 |