── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tommy Paul 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tommy Paul
Botic Van De Zandschulp
66%34%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 85% / 15%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Botic Van De Zandschulp
46th · average
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Botic Van De Zandschulp
87th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#16
model rank
#48
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
NED
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Tommy Paul■ Botic Van De Zandschulp
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
Hard0–2
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-18Queen's ClubGrassR16Tommy Paul7-6(5) 6-3
2023-10-30Paris MastersHardR32Botic Van De Zandschulp6-4 2-6 6-3
2023-09-14Davis Cup Finals RR: NED vs USAHardRRBotic Van De Zandschulp7-6(2) 6-2