── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Botic Van De Zandschulp
66%34%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Botic Van De Zandschulp
46th · average
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Botic Van De Zandschulp
87th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#48
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
NED
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Botic Van De Zandschulp
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard0–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Queen's Club | Grass | R16 | Tommy Paul | 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2023-10-30 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| 2023-09-14 | Davis Cup Finals RR: NED vs USA | Hard | RR | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 7-6(2) 6-2 |

