── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 88% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Pedro Martinez
88%12%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 93% / 7%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Pedro Martinez
41th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#151
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Pedro Martinez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Grass1–0
Clay2–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Tommy Paul | 6-2 6-1 4-6 6-3 |
| 2021-10-25 | St. Petersburg | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021-05-03 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2021-04-12 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Tommy Paul | 4-1 RET |
| 2019-08-26 | US Open | Hard | Q2 | Pedro Martinez | 6-4 6-4 |