── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Alexandre Muller
85%15%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Alexandre Muller
23th · below avg
Return
Tommy Paul
94th · elite
Alexandre Muller
19th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#147
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Alexandre Muller
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Tommy Paul | 6-1 6-2 6-1 |
| 2023-10-23 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-1 |