── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Aleksandar Vukic
84%16%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 86% / 14%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Aleksandar Vukic
35th · below avg
Return
Tommy Paul
94th · elite
Aleksandar Vukic
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#144
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Aleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2026-01-12 | Adelaide | Hard | QF | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2019-04-29 | Savannah CH | Clay | QF | Aleksandar Vukic | W/O |