── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Daniel Altmaier
80%20%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 91% / 9%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#103
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
GER
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Daniel Altmaier
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Hamburg | Clay | QF | Tommy Paul | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2023-10-16 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 3-6 6-1 6-3 |

