── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Nuno Borges
71%29%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#55
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
POR
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Nuno Borges
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 7-6(6) 6-3 5-7 5-7 7-5 |