── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
73%27%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
80th · strong
Return
Tommy Paul
94th · elite
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
35th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#72
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Tomas Martin Etcheverry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Hamburg | Clay | R16 | Tommy Paul | 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 7-6(7) |
| 2026-03-30 | Houston | Clay | QF | Tommy Paul | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R16 | Tommy Paul | 6-1 6-3 |