── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
68%32%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 90% / 10%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
79th · strong
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#48
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Tomas Martin Etcheverry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Hamburg | Clay | R16 | Tommy Paul | 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 7-6(7) |
| 2026-03-30 | Houston | Clay | QF | Tommy Paul | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R16 | Tommy Paul | 6-1 6-3 |