── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Corentin Moutet
78%22%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#101
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
FRA
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Delray Beach | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | Clay | R16 | Tommy Paul | 7-6(5) 6-3 |