── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Ugo Humbert
65%35%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 61% / 39%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Ugo Humbert
84th · strong
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#43
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
FRA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Ugo Humbert
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard3–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Queen's Club | Grass | SF | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 6-1 7-6(4) |
| 2018-11-12 | Champaign CH | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 6-4 4-6 6-2 |