── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Adam Walton
81%19%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 95% / 5%
Grass: 77% / 23%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Adam Walton
44th · average
Return
Tommy Paul
94th · elite
Adam Walton
52th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#118
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Adam Walton
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Delray Beach | Hard | R16 | Tommy Paul | 7-6(11) 6-3 |