── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Thiago Agustin Tirante
68%32%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 93% / 7%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Thiago Agustin Tirante
76th · strong
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Thiago Agustin Tirante
26th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#57
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Thiago Agustin Tirante
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-4 6-2 |