── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Francisco Cerundolo
54%46%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Francisco Cerundolo
61th · average
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Francisco Cerundolo
96th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#24
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Francisco Cerundolo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–3
Hard1–1
Clay0–2
── 8 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Queen's Club | Grass | F | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-7(4) 6-4 6-3 |
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-2 7-6(4) |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Francisco Cerundolo | 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-7(7) 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-08-07 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 7-6(2) 6-7(2) 6-3 |
| 2023-06-26 | Eastbourne | Grass | F | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-4 1-6 6-4 |
| 2023-06-19 | Queen's Club | Grass | R32 | Francisco Cerundolo | 7-6(2) 4-6 6-4 |
| 2022-06-20 | Eastbourne | Grass | R32 | Tommy Paul | 4-6 7-6(2) 6-4 |