── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Jenson Brooksby
84%16%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 64% / 36%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Jenson Brooksby
17th · poor
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Jenson Brooksby
65th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#129
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Jenson Brooksby
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
Clay0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Dallas | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 4-6 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2025-03-31 | Houston | Clay | SF | Jenson Brooksby | 7-6(5) 3-6 7-6(6) |
| 2025-02-03 | Dallas | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 6-7(6) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 6-1 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-08-15 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-2 |