── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Aleksandar Kovacevic
82%18%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 91% / 9%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Aleksandar Kovacevic
68th · average
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Aleksandar Kovacevic
3th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#113
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Aleksandar Kovacevic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Tommy Paul | 6-4 6-3 6-3 |