── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Rinky Hijikata
81%19%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 93% / 7%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Rinky Hijikata
12th · poor
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Rinky Hijikata
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#112
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Rinky Hijikata
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Tommy Paul | 4-6 6-3 7-5 6-4 |
| 2025-01-06 | Adelaide | Hard | QF | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-4 |