── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Valentin Royer
80%20%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Valentin Royer
32th · below avg
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Valentin Royer
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#114
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Valentin Royer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-4 7-6(5) |