── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Roman Andres Burruchaga
75%25%
Hard: 90% / 10%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 89% / 11%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Roman Andres Burruchaga
25th · below avg
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Roman Andres Burruchaga
91th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#76
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Roman Andres Burruchaga
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Houston | Clay | F | Tommy Paul | 6-1 3-6 7-5 |