── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Coleman Wong
79%21%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 99% / 1%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Coleman Wong
56th · average
Return
Tommy Paul
94th · elite
Coleman Wong
18th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#105
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
HKG
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Coleman Wong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | R128 | Tommy Paul | 6-7(3) 6-1 6-3 6-3 |