── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Raphael Collignon
67%33%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#55
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
BEL
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Raphael Collignon
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 6-2 3-6 7-6(5) |