── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tommy Paul
Learner Tien
52%48%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Learner Tien
68th · average
Return
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#17
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
USA
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tommy Paul■ Learner Tien
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Delray Beach | Hard | SF | Tommy Paul | 4-6 6-4 6-3 |