── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Alexander Zverev
27%73%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 15% / 85%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Alexander Zverev
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#3
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
GER
188cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Alexander Zverev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–7
Clay0–1
Grass0–1
── 10 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-09-20 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Alexander Zverev | 6-7(5) 7-5 [10-5] |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 3-6 7-6(3) 6-1 7-6(5) |
| 2021-10-25 | Vienna | Hard | F | Alexander Zverev | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2019-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2019-08-26 | US Open | Hard | R64 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 3-6 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
| 2018-10-29 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2017-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2017-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-4 6-3 |
| 2017-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-3 6-4 |