── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Martin Damm
73%27%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 77% / 23%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Martin Damm
82th · strong
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Martin Damm
2th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#109
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
USA
188cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Martin Damm
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 7-5 6-7(8) 7-5 |