── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Daniel Evans
87%13%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 52% / 48%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Daniel Evans
6th · poor
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Daniel Evans
30th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#171
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
GBR
188cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Daniel Evans
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard6–4
── 11 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Queen's Club | Grass | R32 | Daniel Evans | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-10-14 | Almaty | Hard | R16 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-7(10) 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2023-10-23 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 1-4 RET |
| 2023-07-31 | Washington | Hard | QF | Daniel Evans | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2023-01-02 | United Cup | Hard | RR | Frances Tiafoe | 3-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2021-11-08 | Stockholm | Hard | QF | Frances Tiafoe | 1-6 6-1 6-1 |
| 2021-03-22 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-3 |
| 2020-10-19 | Antwerp | Hard | R16 | Daniel Evans | 7-6(3) 6-2 |
| 2019-10-21 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2019-02-18 | Delray Beach | Hard | R32 | Daniel Evans | 3-6 7-6(1) 7-5 |
| 2015-11-10 | Knoxville CH | Hard | F | Daniel Evans | 5-7 6-1 6-3 |