── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Frances Tiafoe 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Frances Tiafoe
Yannick Hanfmann
63%37%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 62% / 38%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Yannick Hanfmann
83th · strong
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Yannick Hanfmann
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#31
model rank
#63
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
GER
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Frances TiafoeYannick Hanfmann
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard01
Grass10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR64Yannick Hanfmann6-7(9) 6-2 6-1
2024-06-10StuttgartGrassR16Frances Tiafoe7-5 7-6(5)