── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Frances Tiafoe 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Frances Tiafoe
Roman Safiullin
68%32%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Roman Safiullin
48th · average
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Roman Safiullin
62th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#31
model rank
#86
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
RUS
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Frances TiafoeRoman Safiullin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR128Frances Tiafoe6-4 7-5 6-4
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR32Roman Safiullin5-7 7-5 7-6(5)