── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Arthur Rinderknech
68%32%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Arthur Rinderknech
90th · elite
Return
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#44
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Arthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-2 2-0 RET |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Frances Tiafoe | 7-6(2) 6-3 4-6 6-7(4) 6-3 |
| 2024-05-20 | Lyon | Clay | R16 | Arthur Rinderknech | 7-6(7) 6-4 |