── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Aleksandar Vukic
82%18%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 63% / 37%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#152
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Aleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 4-6 6-3 |
| 2024-10-14 | Almaty | Hard | QF | Aleksandar Vukic | 6-2 7-6(11) |
| 2020-02-03 | Dallas CH | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 4-6 7-6(7) 6-4 |