── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Frances Tiafoe 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Frances Tiafoe
Daniel Altmaier
81%19%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 85% / 15%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Daniel Altmaier
34th · below avg
Return
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Daniel Altmaier
32th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#13
model rank
#109
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
GER
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Frances Tiafoe■ Daniel Altmaier
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass2–0
Clay2–0
Hard1–0
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-20HalleGrassSFFrances Tiafoe6-1 6-3
2026-06-09StuttgartGrassR32Frances Tiafoe7-6(3) 4-6 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR16Frances Tiafoe6-3 6-4 7-6(4)
2023-05-08Rome MastersClayR64Frances Tiafoe3-6 7-5 6-3
2023-01-16Australian OpenHardR128Frances Tiafoe6-3 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(6)