── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Hubert Hurkacz
63%37%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Hubert Hurkacz
94th · elite
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Hubert Hurkacz
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#60
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
POL
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Hubert Hurkacz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard3–3
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-4 6-7(1) 6-4 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | QF | Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 0-0 RET |
| 2022-10-24 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Hubert Hurkacz | 7-6(9) 3-6 6-3 |
| 2021-10-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2019-08-19 | Winston-Salem | Hard | QF | Hubert Hurkacz | 4-6 7-6(1) 6-1 |
| 2018-11-05 | NextGen Finals | Hard | RR | Frances Tiafoe | 4-1 4-2 2-4 4-3(10) |
| 2018-07-30 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-2 6-4 |