── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Nuno Borges
65%35%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Nuno Borges
81th · strong
Return
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Nuno Borges
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#13
model rank
#35
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
POR
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Nuno Borges
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Acapulco | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-04-25 | Estoril | Clay | R16 | Frances Tiafoe | 7-6(4) 4-6 6-0 |